Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Trustworthy AI isn’t just about predicting the right outcome; it’s about knowing how confident we should actually be.

People with higher intelligence are better at making accurate predictions about their own futures, according to new research published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. The study ...

Please provide your email address to receive an email when new articles are posted on . The HAS-GCA score combines a validated clinical scoring tool with ultrasound scans. An international study to ...