Market timing, when properly understood as trading based on conditional expectations rather than forecasting, can be an effective strategy for generating superior risk-adjusted returns. We look at a ...

A new study reminds us how difficult it is to time the U.S. stock market’s day-to-day gyrations. The study found that, this year so far, “just 9 days account for all the stock market’s 2024 gains.” ...

Editor’s Note: Yesterday, I shared research from my colleague Keith Kaplan showing that stock prices often move in repeatable seasonal patterns – and why understanding when things happen can matter ...

Volatility risk often rises around policy meetings and economic data releases. Liquidity can thin during global holidays and quarter-end periods. Understanding these patterns can support more precise ...